Field favored in Derby Future WagerOn September 26, 2021 by Jerome Diggs
Despite the star power of champions Declan’s Moon and Sweet Catomine, Churchill Downs oddsmaker Mike Battaglia has installed the mutuel field as the 3-1 morning line favorite for the first of three pools of the 2005 Kentucky Derby Future Wager, which opens Thursday and runs through Sunday.
The mutuel field includes all three-year-olds other than the 23 horses listed as individual betting interests.
Unbeaten juvenile champion Declan’s Moon is the favored individual horse at 6-1 with Rockport Harbor, who is bidding to give trainer John Servis his second consecutive Derby victory, installed as the 8-1 choice.
Sweet Catomine, the champion two-year-old filly, is a wagering interest in the opening pool of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager and the Kentucky Oaks Future Wager, which will be offered at the same time.
BIG HAUL, BUT NOT FOR BETTORS: Books get all they can handle
In terms of dynasties, the New England Patriots don’t compare to Nevada sports books.
A record of just under $90.8 million was wagered on Super Bowl XXXIX, and the state’s 173 sports books won a record $15.4 million, according to figures released Tuesday by the Nevada Gaming Control Board.
Nevada sports books have posted a win in 10 consecutive Super Bowls. The Patriots beat the Philadelphia Eagles 24-21 on Sunday, winning their second consecutive Super Bowl and third in four years.
“I was shocked,” Stardust sports book director Bob Scucci said. “The win didn’t shock me, but certainly the total handle did.”
In last year’s Super Bowl, the Patriots’ win over Carolina produced a record total handle of $81.2 million and a record win of $12.4 million for the state’s 152 books.
“Last year, we were really surprised with the jump. It all came back to the economy turning around, and we also saw that in the rest of the gaming numbers,” said Frank Streshley, the control board’s statistical analyst.
Streshley credited marketing efforts by the casinos for attracting more visitors for Super Bowl weekend. But he said in the days leading up to the game “we had gotten mixed signals” from sports book directors about whether the handle would set a record.
The handle of $90,759,236 was up 11.7 percent over last year, the win of $15,430,138 was up 24 percent, and the books’ 17.0 win percentage also set a record.
Station Casinos sports book director Micah Roberts said he expected the bigger numbers.
“The other books I talked to all said the handle was up,” Roberts said. “Our Judi Qq numbers were exactly indicative of that, as far as the increase goes.”
MGM Mirage sports book director Robert Walker estimated the handle would be $70 to $77 million but said the handle at his books was up 5 percent over last year. He took several six-figure bets, the largest for $550,000 on New England as a 7-point favorite.
Roberts said he expected the Patriots’ dominance and the hype surrounding injured Eagles wide receiver Terrell Owens to create betting interest in the matchup.
New England did not cover the spread and the game went under the total of 47 1/2, two factors that contributed greatly to the casinos’ win.
Streshley said the books needed the Patriots to win but not cover. He said the most popular wagers statewide were on the Patriots laying the points, the Eagles to win straight up on the money line and for the score to go over the total. Most parlays were on the Patriots and the over. Proposition betting also was profitable for the books.
“The last touchdown was huge for the sports books,” Streshley said, referring to Philadelphia quarterback Donovan McNabb’s TD pass with 1:48 remaining that cut the final deficit to three points.
Scucci said the last score “had to double” the win for the books. “It would not have set a state record otherwise.”
Nevada sports books showed a Super Bowl loss of $396,674 in 1995, when San Francisco routed San Diego.
The total amount wagered on the Super Bowl has increased each of the past four years and is up from $71.5 million in 2002, when New England started its run by beating St. Louis.